Saturday 17 September 2011

Man is a social animal, same logic applies to Nation-states emerged after Westphalia treaty and even in the world of complex interdependence[1] it corroborate the fact. Nations to become developed has to take help of each other, these relations between different nations states, cross border movement of capital and people leads to web of international relations. In this web of international relations nation-states tries to maximise their interest through foreign policy on path of development.

In simple words foreign policy means shaping policy of a nation for making external environment conducive to the interest of the nation. History, geography, domestic structures, international environment, personality of decision makers etc can be termed as some of the determinants of foreign policy[2] of any country. Preparing foreign policy is a tedious job and it is not an event rather a continuous process based on the objectives of the country. Objectives can be categorized into short term and long term objectives, short term objectives needs to in coordination with long term objectives. Policy makers in India shape country’s foreign policy in the above mentioned context only.

Independent foreign policy, Unity and territorial integrity, Development of the country, world Peace, and non interference are some of the objectives[3] of the Indian foreign policy. Since 1947 those were the basics of Indian policy, in 2011 while looking towards challenges ahead of Indian foreign policy we have to take into consideration these objectives along with phenomenal growth of India post USSR and complex security, economic situation prevailing in the world.

Challenges in front of Indian foreign policy can be classified in 3 sub classes. Firstly, a Peaceful relation with neighbours is a precondition of the development of any country. India shares its border with almost all the countries in the south Asia. To have peaceful relations with these countries is a massive task for India. Creating not just economic interdependence rather creation of vested interest in the peaceful territory of every country is a way out not just for India but also of SAARC region. SAARC rhetoric needs to be realised, South Asian University is a good example of this realisation, and work needs to be done on other issues like SAARC grain bank[4], SAFTA[5] etc. We have examples of ASEAN, AU, and MERCOSUR in context of regional cooperation

While talking of periphery we cannot leave aside India’s relations with Pakistan, will power of decision makers might pave the way for new emergence. Relations with other neighbours need to be viewed from the perspective other than strategic depth. One should remember we can change friend or enemy but not neighbour.

Secondly India’s rise in recent years has been acknowledged by the world, and it created space for India to represent itself at world stage with the confidence thanks to IT and service sector. India’s growing stature helped itself in granting NSG waiver, world is looking towards India with lots of expectation, in the era when expect military sphere every field of world is galvanised by presence of multiple players. Growing stature also brings greater responsibility and India needs to face it with both the hands, present chairmanship of UNSC provides opportunity to demonstrate responsible behaviours of the Indian nation. Present economic crisis is also a challenge ahead of this ancient civilization. Managing relations with great powers like US, China, UK, France or EU will remain a daunting task for New Delhi.

Thirdly apart from relations with these countries transformation of India free of poverty, illiteracy, and ensuring safe drinking water, energy security are the responsibilities for policy makers. Here again role of other countries come into play, relations with African continent and Latin America will make big difference on the matter as well as policy of cooperation by ONGC with Gazprom needs to be viewed. MDG[6] also talks about these challenges. We can list down number of other challenges a

Challenges are the path towards opportunities. Indian policy makers can find opportunities in the area viewed as 3 concentric circles by C.Raja Mohan. First circle is immediate neighbourhood developing transit routes, basic infrastructure will generate floods of movement of people, culture, capital and also help to integrate Indian neighbourhood. Reviving silk route, building roads in the India’s east i.e. Myanmar will ensure progress of North east of India. Sitway, Kaladalan multi modal project are the recent examples of this, recent visit of PM to Bangladesh[7] tried to capitalize this opportunity. Muslims in the subcontinent constitute 40% population of world Muslims, economic integration will result in harmony in the people and this can be better example in front of west who us to shy away from Muslim.

Second circle lies in extended neighbourhood basically in Central Asia, West Asia, India can help in institutionalizing roots of democracy as they feel more warmth and synonymise themselves with Indian democracy constituting of unity in diversity, as well as India’s vibrant service sector can actually help people in our extended neighbourhood to eradicate poverty, ameliorate health services, better investment opportunities etc. India even proved its might in the technology in African continent via strengthening health services under Pan-African project[8].

Third circle is of world stage, relative decline of US in economic, political sphere and in environment of multi player world, India can grab this opportunity to shape the world order not just multi polar rather multi partner as objective of world peace and development suggest. Recent economic crisis harbinger India opportunity as member of G-20 to say decisively in deciding economic order of the world. India can play a role as supplier of services to the world, WTO, WIPO, Climate change conferences offer opportunity to reinforce spirit of NIEO(New International world Order) and NAM in a changed circumstances with leading south-south cooperation.

Indian foreign policy made a long jump since independence and specially after collapse of USSR, however there are some elements of continuity along with change in foreign policy , which need a separate discussion but inheritance of strategic policies since British era will assure us that India will remain successfully in balancing power and peace combination with order and justice in the world .I am confident that Indian diplomacy will judiciously face challenges and capitalize the opportunities available for it.



[1] Robert keohane and Joseph Nye (1977), power and interdependence, Boston: Scott publisher

[2] J.Bandyopadhyaya (2003), The Making of India’s foreign policy , N.Delhi, allied publishers pvt.ltd

[3] Panchseel Agreement 1955 between India and China

[4] SAARC website:www.saarc-sec.org , SAARC secretariat 2007

[5] SAARC website:www.saarc-sec.org, SAARC secretariat 2004

[7] 6th and 7th september 2011: opening transit route for Nepal and Bhutan through India to Bangladesh.

[8] www.panafricanproject.com

Monday 16 May 2011

What if Osama had been found in India!?


text is outcome of Discussion among 'Kalewadi Aghadi' members

At first the question may sound appalling. A second look may even make such a scenario seem impossible. And yet, the global terror infrastructure, as we understand it today, has not been spreading discreetly- but has been seeping across borders behind veils. What is more, with the accelerated advances in IT and its indiscriminate diffusion across the globe, terror syndicates have become ever more dangerous. They are intelligent, they are stealthy, they are efficient and they are driven by mystical spiritual forces. Their attacks have more often then naught been successful surprises, they have hoodwinked the best of security agencies, they have laid cells in the least expected regions, they have been eluding multinational search operations for years. Given this rapid rise and broad spread of terrorism globally, nothing can be preemptively discarded. In light of all this, one may be forced to give an outside thought to that small yet unsettling question- what if Osama had been found (and killed) in India!?

After the historic declaration was made last week, we witnessed a flurry of activity - discussions, debates, allegations, counter-allegations, clarifications... Several questions were asked of the U.S, several of Afghanistan. And the one nation caught right in the center was Pakistan. That much for the actual events. Now let’s delve slightly into fiction (though, for the above stated reasons, how thin a line divides it from a real possibility is anyone's guess).

Imagine, the US had started that intelligence gathering operation about the possibility of finding a high level target in a compound somewhere in India. In Pakistan's case, as of the facts in hand at the moment, the local intelligence was never informed about the depth of the operation. There is no reason to believe that the US would have supplied the IB with any more intelligence if India had been under the scanner. Indeed, there is every possibility that since there has apparently been very less co-ordination with Indian intelligence agencies than the Pakistani ones (thanks to the Af-Pak strategy), the US would have preferred to keep India totally in the dark. And let us say on May 1, under the particular operation, the Navy SEALs would have killed Osama bin Laden on Indian soil.

The immediate level of world-wide activity that would follow would perhaps make last week's flurry of events look like a tiny ripple! The repercussions of this incredible event would be mammoth. The US would seek the first chance to convince the world of the need to take its security 'assistance' inside India. (For those that believe that the US has been pressing its presence in Iraq and Afghanistan mainly for energy and strategic reasons, the possibility is accentuated by the fact that the entire Indian Ocean-with the largest chunk of world trade- lies at the feet of the sub-continent!) Given the gravity of the situation there might even be a UN pressure for some sort of outside presence in India. And we could be well served not to expect any help from Russia, France or the UK- all of whom have been victims of fundamentalist extremism in the past. For China, it would be an unexpected gift- with its so called competitor caught off balance, its own credibility in terms of its strategic presence in the region strengthened and the geopolitical reality of the Asian region strongly favoring its strong emergence in the near future. For Pakistan, it would be a bonanza! It would literally signal a game change! Its weak arguments of trying to dismantle the inner terror infrastructure would suddenly start carrying water! Its claims to a strategic partnership with the U.S as well as China would suddenly be vindicated! Most importantly, the whole process of India constantly pointing to Pakistan for its terror infrastructure would be reversed and India would be the target for the conveyor belt hacks, perhaps, with a danger of losing out on its long term conflicts with Pakistan!!

While all this seems probable on the external front, the internal front would be nothing better. Of course a committee would be quickly constituted to inquire into the intelligence failure and of course statements would be issued rapidly clarifying our position. But with immense pressure pushing in, the serenity and stockiness of the Indian establishment would not last long. Things would be made worse by our natural tendencies of political finger-pointing and the passionate portrayal of 'how the Indian establishment is more a culprit than is apparent' by sections of the local media!

In a nut-shell, the rapidly rising economic powerhouse vying for a developed status would plunge into politico-strategic depression by just one such significant event!

Fact, they say, is stranger than fiction. In this case, thankfully it is also more soothing. And the factual reality is that India is much more a secure and stable state than its terror affected neighbors. In fact, our establishment is secure enough not to enable terrorist groups find loopholes in it big enough to squeeze in and find a stronghold, again, quite unlike our neighbors. Our intelligence capabilities are too secure to let a sudden intrusion (official or insurgent, overt or covert) go undetected. The fact is, India, with the sheer strength of its politico-strategic and security fundamentals, has the least chance of having to face a situation as is painted above.

Yet, for the sake of the argument of the global spread of terror, it is worthwhile to consider the worst-case scenario, not just for India but for any nation on the globe. For, Osama could then have been found in any part of the world. Stretching our imagination, had he been found in any country in West Asia, a complex flux between the resurgent nations in the area and the extended remnants of the War on Terror would have precipitated in an extremely worrisome manner; had he been found in a country in Africa, the entire geopolitical setup of the continent would have become set to undergo a major change; stretching further, had he been found in Russia (or for that matter, in any member nation of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)), extreme traditional frictions would have re-emerged. Given the level at which nations interact today, these conditions would perhaps not emerge immediately- but over a slightly longer span of time, they seem to be the most possible long term repercussions.

Being an event such international significance, it calls for introspection by all nations. When the Fukushima disaster loomed large over Japan, several national magazines came out with cover stories that went “What if this was_ _ _ _ (India/ South Korea/ Pakistan/ Russia...)?”

It is apt that we ask similar questions about our preparedness post the Abbottabad Operation. It would be wise if we sat down to chalk out corrections to whatever shortcomings we have and in whatever remote way they might lead to a terror link-up. The scenario painted in this article was fearsome. Yet that is the very reality in our neighborhood. India needs to take this opportunity to reinforce its strategies and revamp its strategic resources in wake of this unstable neighborhood. Any legislation that relates to extremist operations should be acted on with haste and without political opportunism. Corruption is one vice that will take some time to be dislodged from our offices. Yet, in face of the larger evil of the possibility of terror taking roots in the country, stricter vigilance and co-operation at all levels of financial, defense, civil services needs to be ensured. But then again, this would be a broad based call. Every branch, stream, hierarchical level and office will have to formulate and immediately implement measures in these directions.

For, we live and work in a secure nation- with the knowledge that terrorists will always find it extremely difficult to set camp in India. We need to work to live in an India where that knowledge in itself is perpetually secure.


text is outcome of Discussion among 'Kalewadi Aghadi' members

Sunday 15 May 2011

हा नादच खुळा !! वाजले ना बारा



या महिन्यात बरेचसे गंभीर असे विषय या आधीच्या 'पोस्ट' मध्ये आले आहेत ..त्यामुळे डोके जड झाले त्यावर उतारा देण्यासाठी पुढील ब्लोग सादर करत आहे ..मागच्या रविवारची गोष्ट आहे ....ऐका...


रविवार असल्याने तंगड्या वर करून आडवे पडून टंगळ मंगळ करत पडलो होतो. समोर संगणकावर काही व्हीडीओ साँग मधील काहीतरी अवयव हलताना दिसत होते ...(त्याला डान्स किंवा नृत्य म्हणतात) ...एवढ्यात

चैत्रपुनवेची रात, आज आलीया भरात, धडधड काळजात माझ्या माईना,.....................

या ओळी ऐकू आल्या ...आता निरखून पाहणे भाग होते ...खानविलकरांची अमृता आता तिच्यासोबत आमचे बारा वाजवणार होती....मला ती टी.व्ही. वरची डेरीमिल्क ची 'मन मी लड्डू फुटा' ही जाहिरात आठवली कारण तंगड्या पसरून आडव्या पडलेल्या माझ्या डोक्यात अमृता खानविलकर माझ्या शेजारी येवून नाचत आहे असा लाडू फुटला होता ...(त्याचे फार तपशील हा ब्लोग कौटुंबिक असल्याने देता येणार नाहीत ) फुटलेल्या दुसऱ्या लाडवाचे कल्पनाचित्र मात्र येथे मांडता येईल. हा दुसरा लाडू मला थेट २०२५ मध्ये घेवून गेला ...त्यावेळी देखील मराठी ची अवस्था कुसुमाग्रजांनी मागे राज्य शासनाला पत्र पाठवून 'मराठी दरिद्री' झाली असून फाटक्या कपड्याने मंत्रालयाच्या पायऱ्यावर उभी अशीच झाली होती......कोणीतरी कुंचला घेवून त्याचे फटकारे मराठी च्या रक्षणासाठी चालवीत आणि तोंडाची वाफ दडवीत असल्याचे दिसले त्यावरून याचा वारसा 'मातोश्री' किंवा 'कृष्कुंज' असल्याच समजून आले. अश्यावेळी शाळेतील मराठी पुस्तके आहेत तरी कशी हे पाहण्यासाठी मी एका शाळेत गेलो ...आश्चर्य शाळेत मराठीचा तास चालू होता म्हणजे अजून 'मराठी' टिकून होती. या मराठीला जपण्यासाठी मुलांना 'शृंगाररस ' हा विषय शिकवणे चालू होते ....त्यासाठी कविता होती ...हो कविताच

हो...

चैत्रपुनवेची रात, आज आलीया भरात, धडधड काळजात माझ्या माईना,

कधी कवा कुटं कसा, जीव झाला येडापिसा, त्याचा न्हाई भरवसा, तोल र्‍हाईना,

राखली की मर्जी तुमच्या जोडीनं मी आले,

पिरतीच्या या रंगी राया, चिंब ओली मी झाले,

राया सोडा अता तरी, काळयेळ न्हाई बरी, पुना भेटु कवातरी साजणा......

मला जाउद्या ना घरी, आता वाजले की बारा,

हे....कशापाई छळता, मागंमागं फिरता, असं काय करता दाजी, हिला भेटा की येत्या बाजारी,

हे....सहाची ती गाडी गेली, नवाचीबी गेली, आता बाराची गाडी निघाली,

हिला जाउद्या ना घरी, आता वाजले की बारा,

मला जाउद्या ना घरी, आता वाजले की बारा... हा...जी जी रं जी ||धॄ||

हो....

आयन्यावाणी रुप माजं, उभी ज्वानीच्या मी उंबर्‍यात,

नादावलं खुळंपिसं, कबुतरं ह्ये माज्या उरात,

भवताली भय घाली, रात मोकाट ही चांदन्याची,

उगा घाई कशापाई, हाये नजर उभ्या गावाची,

हे.. नारी गं, रानी गं, हाये नजर उभ्या गावाची,

शेत आलं राखणीला, राघु झालं गोळा,

शीळ घाली आडुन कोनी, करुन तिरपा डोळा,

अता कसं किती झाकु, सांगा कुटंवर राखु, राया भानं माजं मला र्‍हाईना.....|

मला जाउद्या ना घरी, आता वाजले की बारा,

हे....कशापाई छळता, मागंमागं फिरता, असं काय करता दाजी, हिला भेटा की येत्या बाजारी,

हे....सहाची ती गाडी गेली, नवाचीबी गेली, आता बाराची गाडी निघाली

हिला जाउद्या ना घरी, आता वाजले की बारा,

मला जाउद्या ना घरी, आता वाजले की बारा... हा...जी जी रं जी ||१||

हो....

आला पाड, झाला भार, भरली उभारी घाटाघाटात,

तंग चोळी, अंग जाळी, टच्च डाळिंब फुटं व्हटात,

गार वारं, झोंबनारं, द्वाड पदर जागी ठरना,

आडोशाच्या खोडीचं मी, कसं गुपित राखु कळंना,

हे.. नारी गं, रानी गं, कसं गुपित राखु कळंना,

मोरावानी डौल माझा, मैनेवानी तोरा,

अवंदाच्या बा वर्सला मी, गाठलं वय सोळा,

जीवा लागली या गोडी, तरी कळ काढा थोडी,घडी आताची ही तुमी र्‍हाउद्या.....|

मला जाउद्या ना... आता वाजले की बारा,

मला जाउद्या ना घरी, आता वाजले की बारा, अहो जाउद्या ना घरी,

हे....कशापाई छळता, मागंमागं फिरता, असं काय करता दाजी, हिला भेटा की येत्या बाजारी,

हे... सहाची ती गाडी गेली, नवाचीबी गेली, आता बाराची गाडी निघाली,

हिला जाउद्या ना घरी, आता वाजले की बारा,

मला जाउद्या ना घरी, आता वाजले की बारा... हा...जी जी रं जी ||२||



आता या कवितेवर 'स्वाध्याय' दिलेला होता तो खाली दिलेला आहे त्याची उत्तरे मला पाठवून देणे .....

. खालील प्रश्नाची थोडक्यात उत्तरे द्या

.जीव येडापीसा होणे म्हणजे काय ते सांगून तो कुठे कुठे येडापिसा होतो ते सांगा

. 'राया' , 'दाजी ' यांचे स्वभाव वैशिष्ट्य रेखाटा

. 'उभी ज्वानीच्या मी उंबर्यात' याचा कल्पनाविस्तार करा.

. वरील कवितेच्या आधारे महाराष्ट्रातील ग्रामीण भागातील परिस्थितीचे चित्रण करा

'आता वाजले कि बारा ' असे कोण कोणास म्हणाले

.' टच्च डाळिंब' चित्र काढा

. मोर , मैना आणि मानव यांच्यातील साम्यस्थळे विषद करा

. '१६ वरीस धोक्याच' आणि 'अवंदाच्या वर्सला मी गाठल वय १६' यांचा तुलनात्मक अभ्यास करून तत्कालीन स्त्रियांची सामाजिक आणि मानसिक स्थिती सोदाहरण स्पष्ट करा.

. या कवितेच्या आधारे 'शृंगाररस ' आणि 'बिभित्स रस' याच्यातील साम्यस्थळे व्हिडीओ पाहून तपशीलवारपणे नमूद करा.

२. खालील वाक्यप्रचारांचा वाक्यात उपयोग करून त्यांचे अर्थ स्पष्ट करा

अ. धडधड काळजात न मावणे

ब. बारा वाजणे

क. शेत राखणीला येणे

ड. भान न राहणे


प्रकल्प : या कवितेआधारे ग्रामीण मराठी बोलीचा अभ्यास करण्यासाठी गावात जावून 'अमृता खानविलकर' 'राया' , 'दाजी' यांची भेट घेवून बोली भाषेस उर्जितावस्था प्राप्त करण्यासाठी त्यांना सोबत घेवून पथनाट्य सादर करा.
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आपल्या उत्तराची वाट पाहत असलेले इयत्ता १० मधील विद्यार्थी आणि मी ...................

Sunday 8 May 2011

After Osama dynamics in nearest concentic circle of India




Most of the people in the South Asian continent awake on 2nd May with news of 'USA killing Osama in Pakistan' . euphoria over issues now come to rest and focus fast shifted to strains in USA-Pak relations. As news of killing of Osama brought different feelings of disbelief, anger , surprise and jubilation.

US senators, Media and Pakistan legislators , media persons started to ask questions to Pakistani government , military; it created very difficult and embarrassing situation for decision makers in Pakistan. USA will not immediately strip all it's ties with Pakistan , but there will be change definitely. Diplomatically India need to pressurize USA on Pakistan's front for bringing culprits of various illegal activities in India , and hiding in safe Pakistan to the justice.

It is interesting to see changing scenario in Indian continent, equations have changed dramatically especially between India-Pakistan. US is playing key role in this particular situation. Laden residing in Abottabad since long time corroborate India's valid stand that Pakistan is factory of terrorism and it now became Frankenstein monster. Indications suggest that in coming future this monster will try to pose challenge for mankind and in particular to Pakistan for sure.

Immediate talks are started in USA about withdrawal of Western forces from Afghanistan as justice has been done with main culprit of 9/11 attack. Though Hillary clinton and other leaders from western world suggested they are not going to ask their forces to come back, however deadline of July 2011 for effective reduction in forces as declared by Obama is fast approaching. Pakistan will surly try to take fullest advantage of this. India needs to keep eye on the changing realities in Af-Pak area. India have invested its blood and money in the area and willing for peaceful restoration of Afghanistan. even before present episode situation in Af-Pak created challenge in front of New Delhi as Gen.Kayani is having strong network with Haqqani in Taliban faction , as well as Hamid Karzai willing to have talks with Taliban may seriously undermine Indian interest in case of US withdrawal. India is exploring option of Iran to reach to Afghanistan , however US-Iran don't see eye to eye at international level. There are some groups in USA , they support engagement of Iran in Af-Pak, New delhi can concentrate on the issue. At the same time proposal put forwarded by Robert Blackwil (Former US Ambassador to India) for partition of Afghanistan may lead to instability so, no need to focus on that.

We should not neglect recent development of Pakistan's advice to Afghanistan for taking help of China , instead of USA. This development is not just limited to Af-Pak region rather have wider implications if one take into consideration angle of Central Asia (The new great game). In this particular context even though we have visualized dream of silk route , practicalities suggest different things . Our emery security demands urgent land or sea based connection with the area and either Afghanistan or Iran (chabahar port ) can secure us on that front.

In Pakistan , this episode created sense of insecurity among people as it indicated inability of military forces. Feudal Pakistan society witness strange paradox where common man seriously doubt about ability of civilian leadership and at the same time blindly follow decisions by Military. 'Op Osama' for the first time in Pakistan's history threatened military forces credibility. This is better situation for India for supporting democratic forces in Pakistan as moral of security forces in Pakistan is at the lowest possible mark. However India should not divert it's process of talks with civilian government. India can also explore the possibility of back channel diplomacy with Islamabad , if not explored till date. Indian establishments know better that talks with Musharraf have yielded some positive results hence while supporting democratic forces don't neglect Rawalpindi.

In India there are some sections who are willing to follow USA path and asking government to undertake covert operations, Pakistani establishment reacted very strongly to such indications; I believe that our Ministry Of External Affairs (MEA) is not considering this options seriously still we should not divert from current process of talks and at the same time MEA should reach to common man specially youth and explain pro's and con's of any such operation. MEA and foreign secretary too using social networking to reach towards people , however they need to do it extensively particularly in case of Pakistan as we can change our friends or enemy but can't overlook neighbor.

Though are numerous other angles to the issue not possible to cover due to limitation. In the end keeping national interest in mind 'Trust but verify' should be our mantra for dealing with Pakistan.

Tuesday 3 May 2011

Post-Osama will there be safer world?


Before 9/11 also Osama was known for his terrorist activities , those were started way back in 1979 after Afghanistan's invasion by then USSR which made him known face... however after 9/11 attack Osama bin Laden become synonymous with terrorism at the world level. from Kid to elderly person everyone was under threat ....and name of the threat was Laden.....all that is now become history with 'op kill Osama' by USA which killed 'most wanted man' world have taken a relief .

Real question is whether killing of Osama will make this world safer of a Human Being , a direct answer is big no. So lets take look at terrorism , there is no consensus among scholars about definition of terrorism but surely those uses violent means to achieve political motives mostly to overthrow the legitimate government and establish their own are defined as terrorist and their acts as terrorism.

In academic terms terrorism have 4 typologies 1. Left Wing terrorism- various communist movements 2. Right Wing Terrorism - Nazism 3. Ethano-nationalist -numerous in African continent 4. Religious - Al-Qaeda . I want to focus primarily on 4th type i.e Religious.

India was experiencing terrorism since 1989 , as Pakistan govt. used it as an instrument against India in their war for Kashmir , this was the time when cracks were appeared in USSR regime and hence US now was not needed help of terror groups as their prime enemy was eliminated and this created distance between long term friends Osama and US . Osama and his folks feels they were betrayed by US and they were merely used so they were in position to take revenge with US. Different policies of US on cultural , religious front further deepen feeling of betray among these groups. Taliban coming to power in 1996 gave moral boost to terror groups and they used machinery and resources of state to achieve their aim of taking revenge . Attacks on US consulates in different parts of world , first unsuccessful attempt for attack of WTC were part of these series. Apart from angle of USSR some other cultural, economic and political reasons were also gave impetus for their rivalry. Fransis Fukuyama termed these terrorist as Islamo Fascist. I will try to illustrate reasons in little bit-

Cultural - It dates back to fall of ottoman empire after 1st world war and Kemal came to rule in Turkey which although on one way brought waves of modernity in Islamic world , however at the same time sowed seed of enmity. Egypt also experienced same thing with rule of Anwar Saddat , Nasser , to whom hardcore Islamic forces consider as pro west. Islamic forces felt that these pro western , Modern values are threatening our own culture , values. This anger was felt at local level at high intensity. This led to Anti-west/Modern movements , Muslim Brotherhood movement was one of such movement. Islamic groups felt Sayyid Qutab who led 'Muslim Brotherhood' movement in Egypt and died in 1966 for the cause. Revolution in Iran under Khomeni further gave boost for hardcore Islamic groups. During same period episode of Afghan invasion happen US tactically used these Islamic forces against 'Red Army' of USSR. In front of challenge of 'communist' US totally neglected anger among Islamic world. After withdrawal of USSR forces US concentrated on Gulf and launched a war against Iraq. US forces went into Middle-East , presence of US troops in holy towns of Macca and Madina seriously undermine sentiments of Muslims and this led to launch of Islamic forces war against US. A rich Osama provided his money, contacts , infrastructure in a 'sacrosanct ' cause of 'Jihad' against modernity represented by pro-west forces. Samuel Huntington in his famous book 'Clash of Civilization' 1996 , though have many shortcoming gave glimpses of cultural rivalry.

Economic-The US and post -industrial states of western Europe dominates international economic institutions IMF, World Bank. Political decisions of many underdeveloped countries and in particular from Islamic world to accept privatization , deregulation lead to significant social and economic upheaval. Some study shown that sense of alienation and lack of opportunity among some Muslim males is also an contributing factor for their decision to turn to violence globally. Attack against WTC can be seen as blow against icon of global capitalism. Links between poverty and terrorism can be seen as vital in this context.

Religion- Global jihad is seen as reaction to the perceived oppression of Muslim's worldwide and spiritual bankruptcy of the west. Believers in global jihad view that rulers of 'Islamic' countries such as Pakistan, S.Arabia as apostates (those Muslim's who are presently not following Islam) have compromised Islamic values in the pursuit of Secular, state based power. Differences in value structures make deterrence of religious terrorism difficult. Religious terrorist seek to replace the normative structure of society. After all religion provide terrorist groups a crucial advantage :the mandate and sanctions of the divine to commit otherwise illegal or immoral acts.

Now I want to move towards globalization, technology and terrorism. Answer to Title is sadly negative as I have stated earlier. But why? here comes the role of globalization, Technology which in some ways providing help in sustaining acts of terrorism and their Ideology. The technological advances associated with globalization have improved the capabilities of terrorist groups to plan and conduct operations with far more devastation.

Traditionally terrorist found it difficult to propagate their idea's , messages , states have advantage in their ability to control flow of information and use of resources but Internet has changed this dynamics. Hence although prominent 'Jihadi' terrorist groups physical presence can be removed , their virtual presence and influence is immortalized.

In present day it is possible for different terrorist cells to mount coordinated attacks in different countries at different locations at the same time . Indeed it is a hallmark of militant Islamic groups. Serial bombings in Mumbai, Madrid are examples of this. Online jihadi discussion forums are available on internet.

Security of terrorist organizations has been preserved by limiting communication and information exchange among different cells. exchange of information is done with using specific codes known only to few individuals . All this will help to hide identities of those working in different cells. Use of proxy servers for using Internet is also one of such kind of example.

Globalization paved the way for mobility for terrorist. In open societies, that have well developed infrastructures,terrorist have been able to move rapidly within and between borders and this complicates matter to trace them. Terrorist use transportation extensively but it need not be overtly in nature. volume of goods transported in support of globalized economy increased extensively and it is not possible to inspect each and every container passing through border.

Terrorist groups become more and more lethal. There is possibility of use of WMD's or even of nuclear thanks to network of Mr. A.Q.Khan. Globalization has facilitated access to weapons , resources and proficiency required to conduct smaller , but more lethal attacks.

Various digital videos suggest that terrorist are already conducting Distance education through virtual 'jihad' academy in which prospective terrorist study everything from conducting ambush attacks to making and using improvised explosive devices (IED)

All the above illustration suggest that even after death of Osama Bind Laden - face of terrorism- terrorism will not end because it is an ideology which is deeply rooted among Islamic world , mainly in the minds of people and specifically of youths of those countries. However Globalization and technology associated with it has improved ability of states, hence they are also trying to counter this asymmetric warfare.

In the end I want to say that the inescapable dilemma for Islamic terrorist is that they could not promote their values without engaging with a world of politics and economics , this will bound to affect the very nature of Islamic community and this might be the ray of Hope for Human Kind. As this kind of terrorism go beyond borders of Nation State cooperation of all states at world level is very much important.

Wednesday 20 April 2011

' सई रे सई ' राडा रॉक्स


चित्रपट पहाणे हि आपली सामाजिक आणि सांस्कृतिक जबाबदारी आहे का? बहुतांशी याचे उत्तर नाही असेच आहे मी मात्र ते माझे कर्तव्य आहे या प्रेरणेने चित्रपट पहात आलो आहे.अगदी लहानपणापासून चित्रपट ही माझी कमजोरी आहे , कॉलेज च्या दिवसात तर शनिवारी 'अलका' मध्ये इंग्रजी आणि इतरत्र कुठेही हिंदी किंवा मराठी (प्रभात) नित्यनियमाने पहिले आहेत. अर्थात त्यावेळी तिकीट देखील कमी होते. मंगला च्या सकाळच्या शो चे तिकीट तर १० रु. होते. आज देखील मी पूर्वी इतक्या नित्य नियमाने नाही पण तरी महिन्या काठी २ चित्रपट थेटरात आणि मग वेळ मिळेल तसे घरी पाहतो. यावरून आपल्या लक्षात आलेच असेल मला पिक्चर पाहण्याची दैदिप्यमान परंपरा आहे ...... परंपरा ही दैदिप्यमान किंवा गौरवशाली का असते काय माहीत पण असते तर त्याच विषयावर मला काही सांगायचे आहे.

चित्रपटाचे परीक्षण वाचून ते पाहण्याची खोड मला असली तरी बिनदिक्कत देखील चित्रपट मी पाहत आलो आहे , हे परीक्षणाचे खूळ या मागील ३ ते ४ वर्षातील आहे . खर तर माझ्या धैर्याची तुम्ही 'सराहना' करायला पाहिजे परीक्षणात भिक्क्क्कार म्हणलेल्या अनेक पिक्चरला मी गेलेलो आहे.' कॅश ' नामक तद्दन फालतू पिक्चर देखील मी पहिला आहे . क्रांती शहा चा 'गुंडा' तसेच कमल सदना , अनिल धवन , राहुल रॉय, किमी 'कपडे' काटकसरकर यांचे देखील मी पिक्चर मी पहिले आहेत. सपेरा, लुटेरा, मुडदे कि जन खतरे मी , पापी हसीना , खून कि होली मराठी म्हणाल तर नाथा पुरे आता , बघ हात दाखवून असले पिक्चर पण मी पाहिले.

एवढे नमनाला तेल लावल्यावर मुद्द्यावर यायचं म्हणजे मी नुकताच ' राडा रॉक्स' हा मराठी चित्रपट पाहिला. काही दिवस आधीच संतोष जुवेकर या मराठीमधील नटाने मराठीत पण चकाचक , रॉक, पॉप, हाणामारीचे असे नवे सिनेमे येत असतात प्रेक्षकांनी त्याला प्रतिसाद द्यावा केवळ 'विनोद' म्हणजे मराठी चित्रपट नव्हे असे आपले खुपणे क्रांती रेडकर आणि अवधूत रावांच्या साक्षीने सांगितले होते. त्याला स्मरून हा 'राडा रॉक्स' नावाचा हातोडा मी आणि माझ्या भावाने डोक्यात, मनावर , डोळ्यांवर सगळीकडे मारून घेतला आणि काळानिळा झालो . कळस म्हणजे रविवारची दुपार ३.१५ वाजलेले अशावेळी मस्तपैकी ताणून द्यायची सोडून केवळ आणि केवळ 'धैर्याच्या' बळावर हा चित्रपट पहायला आम्ही मल्टीप्लेक्सात पावूल टाकले , आजूबाजूला मॉल मधल्या कन्यकांकडे कानाडोळा करून चित्रपटगृहात घुसलो . खरतर या धैर्यासाठी त्या मौटन ड्यू, थम्प्स अप सारख्या जाहिरातीत आम्हाला काम द्यायला पाहिजे तेवढेच पैसे तरी मिळतील आणि ते म्हणतातच न 'डर के आगे जीत है ' पण तसले काही आमच्या बाबतीत झाले नाही .

ढन ढन म्युझिक च्या आवाजात सुरवातीला दिलेला एक इशारा नजरेआड जाण्याआधी मी वाचला ' हा चित्रपट पाहण्यापूर्वी आपले डोके घरी विसरून या , या कथेतील व्यक्तिरेखांचा वास्तविक जीवनाशी संबंध नाही मात्र प्रत्यक्षात कोणी आढळल्यास त्याला जवळच्या मनोरुग्णालयात सोडावे' खरेतर ही धोक्याची घंटा होती पण असेल नेहमी सारखीच सूचना म्हणून तिला मी धुडकावून लावली. चित्रपटातील कलाकारांची नामावली येवू लागली सगळी अपरिचित नावे पराग पाटील , उदय नेने, निशा परब वगैरे ....आणि ते पूर्वीच्या चित्रपतात सर्वात शेवटचे नाव 'प्राण' चे असेल तर 'And Pran ' असे देत त्या थाटात ' आणि सई ताम्हणकर ' असे नाव दिले होते कारण इतर अपरीचितात तिचेच नाव आणि चेहरा परिचित होता. सनई चौघडे वगैरे चा अनुभव पाठीशी असल्याने थोडी आशा होती , बाकी नवीन असली तरी एक संधी द्यायला काय हरकत होती. चित्रपटगृहात मोजून १० माणसे होती ....... कोणत्या तरी कॉलेज भोवती सुरवातीची दहा मिनिटे निर्मात्याने वाया घातली मास्तरला कमी एकू येते असे सांगून नवीन विद्यार्थ्यांना जोरात बोलायला लावणारा आणि त्यातून मास्तर , ते नवीन विद्यार्थी यांची का खरतर माझी फिरकी घेणारा हा सई बाईंचा ग्रुप नंतर मग एका पोराला त्रास देतो तो मास्तर निघतो असले पांचट प्रकार चालू होते. 'सुश्मिता सेन ' मै हु ना ! मध्ये वर्गात आल्यावर कसे आल्हाददायक वाटायचे पण सुश्मिता च्या कोसो दूर असलेली एक बाई सुश्मिताची आठवण करून देईल असा उपटसुंभ विचार या सिनेमाच्या दिग्दर्शकाच्या मनात आला या वरून आपण खिंडीत सापडलो आहोत याची जाणीव झाली . असल्या प्रकार नंतर तो कॉलेजचा प्रिन्सिपॉल ज्याला सतत कोणत्या न कोणत्या अभिनेत्याने पछाडलेले असते जसे राजकुमार , देव आनंद , शोलेचा ठाकूर इत्यादी. असल्या या कॉलेजात सई बाई आणि त्यांची चांडाळ चौकडी हातात गिटार घेवून फिरत असते यावरून आपल्याला काही अर्थबोध होत नाही . मग उगीच कॉलेजमधले दोन विरोधी गट एक राजपाल यादवचा आणि दुसरा राज ठाकरे ची भ्रष्ट नक्कल करणारा इसम . स्मिता ठाकरे आहे ना निर्माती बरोबर आहे काढणारच उट्टे, पैसे पाहिजेत ना शिवसेने कडून .

अरररारा काय रे ते राजपाल चे मराठी आणि त्याचे पाचकळ विनोद , सुरवातीच्या २० मिनिटानंतर मी पिक्चर कडून अपेक्षा सोडून दिली , इतरांनीही दिली असावी कारण १० जणांपैकी ६ जण उठून निघून गेले . आम्ही मात्र तसेच 'धैर्य ' आहे ना आमच्याकडे . पुढे अर्धा चित्रपट झाला तरी मला पिक्चर चा उद्देशच कळेना शेवटी दिग्दर्शकाला माझी दया आली असावी सई आणि तिच्या ग्रुपला एक रॉक अल्बम काढायचा आहे आणि त्या साठी हा सगळा खटाटोप. तिच्या ग्रुप मधील एक जण सोडून ( काय बरे त्याचे नाव जावू दे कशाला उगाच त्रास )सगळे एक जात श्रीमंत ... सिनेमाचा हिरो पराग पाटील याच्या विषयी काय बोलावे ....पिक्चर मध्ये काम करण्यासाठी उत्तम संवादफेक करता आली पाहिजे हे याच्या गावीही नसावे , त्याने फक्त संवादफेक मधील 'फेक' एवढेच एकले असावे पठ्या नुसती मराठी मिश्रित इंग्रजी वाक्यांची फेकाफेक करत होता. त्यांचा एक मित्र गरीब दाखवला आहे तेवढाच आपला 'इमोशनल टच' , अभ्यास वगैरे बाबत बेफिकीर असणारा हा, असो बापडा मी तरी कुठे अभ्यास एके अभ्यास करतो म्हणून तर पिक्चर ला आलो होतो ....हे साहेब घरच्यांचे बोलणे खात असतात त्यामुळे एका BPO मध्ये रात्री नोकरी धरतात आणि दुसऱ्या दिवशी सकाळी सोडून देतात आणि अल्बम बनवायचाच म्हणून आपले वाटोळे करायला येतात . याची आई घरकाम करून घर चालवते वडील अंथरुणाला खिळलेले ..भांडी, झाडलोट करून घर चालवणारी याची आई हे सर्व करताना आपल्या भरजरी साडीला मिरवायला मात्र विसरत नाही.

यांचा अल्बम पैश्या पायी अडतो तेंव्हा कॉलेज मधील ते दोन गट यांना पैसे देवू करतात अट एकच त्यांच्या ग्रुप साठी कॉलेज निवडणुकीत प्रचारगीत लिहून द्यायचे . सई बाईंच्या ग्रुपचा हिरो अजून एकाला विश्वासात घेत दोन्ही गटांना प्रचारगीत देण्याचे मान्य करतो. साहेब गाणे लिहून दोन्ही गटांना गीते लिहून CD देतात मात्र देताना अदलाबदल करतात झाले आता 'बदले कि आग ' चित्रपटवाल्यांची फेवरेट कन्सेप्ट. पण हाय रे दुर्दैवा आता हे बदला वगैरे घेवून पिक्चर संपेल असे वाटले पण नाही अफजलखानाने जसा शिवाजी महाराजांना मारण्याचा विडा उचलला होता तसा या 'राडा रॉक्स' च्या टीमने आमच्या मेंदूचा पार पार भुगा करून टाकायचा विडा घेतला होता. हे सगळे वीर मग एका रियालिटी शो मध्ये जातात .

या रियालिटी शो चे सुत्रसंचलन करणारी भार्गवी चिरमुले म्हणजे आपल्या नामोहरण करण्यासाठी उगाच वेडेवाकडे हावभाव करणारे एक अस्त्र आहे, काय ते बोलणे , चालणे अर्रेरे .....पण काय करता १०२ रु प्रत्येकी दिले होते ना त्यामुळे पाहिले पुढे . येथे येणाऱ्या प्रत्येक ग्रुप चे आचरट चाळे पाहताना जीव नकोसा होत होता त्यात त्यांच्या परफोरमंस वर जजेस ची मते शंकर महादेवन , जुही चावला , अन्नू मलिक , सुखविंदर सिंग अशी मात्तबर मंडळी..... अनु मलिक मात्तबर का? या बाबत शंका आहे . शंकर महादेवन चे मराठी सोडले तर इतर लोकांचे मराठी म्हणजे आपली थट्टा. त्या सुखविंदर सिंग चे मराठी म्हणजे ५ वर्षाच्या मुलाला ३ वर्षाच्या मुलाचे कपडे जसे ओढून ताणून बसवता येतील त्या दर्जाचे ओढूनताणून बोललेले .जावू द्या त्यांना तरी काय दोष द्यायचा म्हणा सई ताम्हणकर बाईंचे इंग्रजी मधील डायलॉग डिलिव्हरी ठीक गटात मोडणारी मात्र मराठी शिव शिव शिव ........वास्तविक सांगली मध्ये जन्मलेली , वाढलेली ही बया लंडन सोडून आपण काही पाहिले नाही अश्या अविर्भावात मराठी बोलत होती.सांगलीतले इतर सगळे सोडून सांगलीच्या आयर्विन पुलाच्या आयर्विनचे गुण घेतले वाटते. पराग पाटील , निशा परब हे लंडन च्या ऐवजी बर्मिंगहम मधून आले असतील त्यामुळे त्या सुखविंदर ला काय दोष देणार तो तर बिचारा पंजाबातील आहे. या रियालिटी शो मध्ये कुडकेश्वर ग्रुप आहे .... घाणीतून नुकताच उठलेला डुक्कर जितका किळसवाना वाटेल तितकेच किळसवाने प्रकार ही मंडळी करत होती. यांचा डान्स म्हणजे रस्त्यावर झोपलेले कुत्रे जसे आपले हात पाय हलवते तसे हात पाय हलवणे म्हणजे डान्स.

एवढा सगळे करून त्या रियालिटी शो मध्ये दुसराच ग्रुप जिंकतो कारण स्पॉनसरचे राजकारण आडवे येते. हा निकाल ऐकल्यावर भार्गवी बाई चालू कार्यक्रमात 'बुलशिट' म्हणून ओरडतात आणि प्रत्येक जज आपापली प्रतिक्रिया देवू लागतो. मलिक साहेब तर काय म्हणाले ते त्यांना तरी कळले का ... ते म्हणतात जनतेने मत देण्यापूर्वी हा विचार करावा कि लय लय होती है, ताल ताल होता है , सूर सूर होता है '......मला तर काही कळले नाही ...तुम्हाला ? एवढा अत्याचार कमी कि काय म्हणून त्या रियालिटी शो मधून वापस आल्यावर भुकेल्या कुत्र्यासारखे या गटाची वाट बघणारे ते कॉलेजातील दोन गट टपून बसलेले असतात त्यांचा उपदेश आपल्याला ऐकावा लागतो. या पिक्चर मध्ये पोलिसांना फक्त याच कॉलेजातली लफडी सोडवण्यासाठी नेमले असावे अशी शंका येते. काय ते कॉलेज , त्यातील प्राध्यापक आणि ही असले वेडी बिद्री मुले. हे लोक वापस येतात तेंव्हा सुनील शेट्टी साहेब पिक्चर मध्ये येवून त्या दोन्ही गटांना समजावतात आणि सर्व गोष्टी गोड होतात.

त्यानंतर सोमवारचा पेपर वाचला कोथरूड मध्ये सोसायटीमध्ये या चित्रपटाशी संबंधित कलावंतानी राडा केल्याप्रकरणी ........बरोबर आहे असले राडे करायची सवयच जडली असावी त्यामुळेच तसला पिक्चर बनवला आणि नंतर हा घोळ ...लोक तरी किती सहन करणार .....यांचा खुलासा काय मी चांगल्या घरातील मुलगी आहे ...अग दाखव न मग तशी लक्षणे .....तो संजय दत्त पण चांग्लायचं घरातला होता आई-वडील प्रख्यात पण केली ना त्याने घाण, राहुल महाजन पण आहेच ....

तर असला हा 'सई रे सई ' राडा .........सई बाई पुढे थोडे अभिनयाचे आणि कसे वागायचे याचे शिक्षण घ्या आणि आपल्या मित्रानाही सांगा ......
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तर शेवटी काय पुढच्या शुक्रवारी कोणता पिक्चर येणार !!!!! गूगल करतो .....असेलच मी तिकडे कोठे तरी शेवटी काय ही जित्याची खोड मेल्याशिवाय जायची नाय उगाच नाही म्हणालो माझी चित्रपट पहाण्याची दैदिप्यमान कारकीर्द आहे .............